All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
Noblesville JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
Date | | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/7 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
Team Rating |
262 | |
337 |
237 |
292 |
288 |
234 |
240 |
747 |
264 |
299 |
301 |
Team Adjusted Rating | | |
274 |
237 |
292 |
288 |
234 |
240 |
262 |
264 |
267 |
301 |
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
Noblesville JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
23 |
Elizabeth Butler |
12 |
18:42 |
18:15 |
19:22 |
18:42 |
18:39 |
19:02 |
18:22 |
18:23 |
|
18:28 |
18:43 |
18:53 |
60 |
Catey Campbell |
12 |
19:19 |
19:40 |
19:28 |
19:14 |
20:16 |
19:08 |
19:08 |
19:18 |
|
19:21 |
19:10 |
19:13 |
136 |
Ava Powers |
12 |
19:59 |
19:36 |
|
19:55 |
19:52 |
19:55 |
19:20 |
19:40 |
|
19:53 |
20:21 |
20:47 |
157 |
Ciara Kepner |
12 |
20:09 |
20:04 |
|
20:46 |
20:25 |
21:11 |
20:51 |
20:21 |
|
20:34 |
20:02 |
20:00 |
245 |
Raegan Hissong |
11 |
20:38 |
19:53 |
21:19 |
20:11 |
20:22 |
20:38 |
20:30 |
20:54 |
|
20:27 |
|
20:43 |
257 |
Addison Smith |
12 |
20:40 |
20:03 |
20:57 |
20:11 |
20:31 |
|
20:33 |
20:24 |
|
20:35 |
21:10 |
20:47 |
288 |
Anissa Lammie |
10 |
20:49 |
19:15 |
20:21 |
20:22 |
21:55 |
|
|
|
|
|
22:56 |
|
353 |
Danika Harris |
9 |
21:02 |
|
20:30 |
20:25 |
20:43 |
21:12 |
21:05 |
21:21 |
|
|
21:11 |
|
366 |
Anaya Lammie |
12 |
21:06 |
21:23 |
|
21:15 |
21:17 |
20:40 |
20:57 |
21:53 |
21:25 |
20:44 |
|
21:24 |
427 |
Carly Viars |
12 |
21:20 |
22:32 |
21:27 |
21:11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
474 |
Makenzie Blom |
11 |
21:30 |
|
|
21:24 |
21:40 |
21:27 |
21:28 |
21:15 |
21:32 |
|
|
|
510 |
Kate Lux |
9 |
21:36 |
|
21:14 |
21:20 |
23:12 |
26:20 |
21:54 |
21:37 |
|
|
|
|
536 |
Anna Irish |
10 |
21:42 |
22:16 |
21:30 |
21:23 |
22:02 |
21:35 |
22:16 |
21:13 |
21:39 |
|
|
|
557 |
Olivia Allen |
11 |
21:44 |
22:33 |
21:35 |
21:33 |
21:19 |
21:26 |
21:41 |
22:13 |
22:01 |
|
|
|
561 |
Aubrey Berger |
11 |
21:45 |
20:32 |
22:31 |
|
|
21:50 |
21:11 |
21:48 |
21:37 |
|
|
|
600 |
Kate Evans |
11 |
21:51 |
20:36 |
21:41 |
21:57 |
|
|
23:57 |
|
|
|
|
|
721 |
Sarah Roeder |
10 |
22:07 |
21:26 |
21:48 |
21:27 |
22:16 |
21:43 |
22:37 |
22:16 |
22:06 |
|
|
|
759 |
Abigail Randolph |
12 |
22:13 |
23:11 |
22:18 |
22:02 |
|
22:17 |
22:00 |
22:17 |
22:09 |
|
|
|
1,000 |
Kylie Murray |
12 |
22:47 |
23:42 |
|
23:04 |
23:16 |
22:06 |
22:35 |
22:49 |
22:46 |
|
|
|
1,057 |
Evie Patch |
9 |
22:55 |
|
22:03 |
22:49 |
23:25 |
23:09 |
22:26 |
22:33 |
23:33 |
|
|
|
1,063 |
Avery Francis |
9 |
22:55 |
|
21:59 |
22:22 |
|
|
23:26 |
22:36 |
23:54 |
|
|
|
1,071 |
Lily Sargent |
10 |
22:56 |
22:27 |
21:36 |
22:18 |
|
|
23:11 |
22:57 |
23:23 |
|
|
|
1,269 |
Eleanor Henry |
9 |
23:24 |
|
23:08 |
23:23 |
25:19 |
23:29 |
23:13 |
24:24 |
22:46 |
|
|
|
|
Morgan Bledsoe |
10 |
23:59 |
22:40 |
23:21 |
|
23:53 |
24:05 |
24:19 |
24:06 |
23:32 |
|
|
|
|
Brynne Dehart |
10 |
24:22 |
|
25:00 |
24:32 |
24:03 |
23:58 |
24:44 |
24:43 |
23:19 |
|
|
|
|
Eliza Bordenkecher |
10 |
25:27 |
24:03 |
24:13 |
|
|
|
|
25:53 |
|
|
|
|
|
Harper Miller |
10 |
25:28 |
24:05 |
25:40 |
26:27 |
24:44 |
|
26:29 |
24:57 |
25:07 |
|
|
|
|
Morgan Wright |
11 |
26:49 |
23:04 |
26:59 |
25:49 |
25:34 |
|
27:26 |
26:36 |
27:43 |
|
|
|
|
Kendall Kopeck |
12 |
27:01 |
23:03 |
|
26:26 |
29:11 |
|
26:40 |
|
27:55 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
State Finals |
100% |
13.0 |
340 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
2.6 |
3.7 |
5.6 |
7.4 |
8.8 |
11.0 |
12.4 |
13.2 |
11.1 |
8.9 |
5.4 |
3.7 |
2.4 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
Regionals |
100% |
3.0 |
121 |
5.7 |
18.6 |
50.4 |
19.1 |
4.6 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
2.1 |
72 |
16.0 |
59.7 |
19.9 |
3.5 |
0.9 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Elizabeth Butler |
100% |
22.5 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
|
100.0% |
Catey Campbell |
100% |
61.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
98.6% |
Ava Powers |
100% |
132.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40.1% |
Ciara Kepner |
100% |
148.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.2% |
Raegan Hissong |
100% |
192.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4% |
Addison Smith |
100% |
194.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
Anissa Lammie |
100% |
205.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Elizabeth Butler |
100% |
5.8 |
|
0.5 |
1.9 |
14.8 |
18.4 |
18.8 |
16.0 |
10.5 |
6.6 |
4.6 |
3.2 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
Catey Campbell |
100% |
14.5 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
2.7 |
4.1 |
5.7 |
7.2 |
7.6 |
8.1 |
8.2 |
8.5 |
7.0 |
6.9 |
5.9 |
5.4 |
4.6 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
|
100.0% |
Ava Powers |
100% |
30.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
|
100.0% |
Ciara Kepner |
100% |
34.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
|
100.0% |
Raegan Hissong |
100% |
52.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
Addison Smith |
100% |
54.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
Anissa Lammie |
100% |
62.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Elizabeth Butler |
3.4 |
0.5 |
1.9 |
27.9 |
44.6 |
14.0 |
6.8 |
2.4 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Catey Campbell |
7.8 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.9 |
9.9 |
12.1 |
15.7 |
14.2 |
13.5 |
10.9 |
9.0 |
7.1 |
3.9 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ava Powers |
15.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
4.9 |
9.0 |
12.7 |
14.8 |
13.7 |
11.7 |
8.4 |
5.8 |
4.3 |
3.4 |
2.1 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
Ciara Kepner |
17.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
3.4 |
6.4 |
9.6 |
10.4 |
12.7 |
11.6 |
10.2 |
8.4 |
6.5 |
5.3 |
3.6 |
2.8 |
2.1 |
Raegan Hissong |
26.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
3.9 |
5.0 |
5.6 |
6.3 |
6.4 |
6.2 |
Addison Smith |
27.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
4.4 |
5.0 |
5.8 |
5.7 |
5.9 |
Anissa Lammie |
30.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
4.2 |
|